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Bear's Lair

Bear Markets always follow Bull markets and a severe stock market correction is long overdue. Bears Lair will spot, monitor and analyze the stock market correction as it develops.

 

Last week we introduced the theoretical ‘taper to carry’ scenario whereby the Federal Reserve would indeed ‘have the balls’ to begin the end of traditional QE and transition the inflation via a new set of mechanics.

Now that the S&P 500 has crossed into new high territory (above the 2007 peak), is the U.S. index starting a new secular trend, as it did in the 1980s and 1990s? The answer greatly depends on whether or not you add inflation.

In attempting to remedy any particular problem; human beings are generally resourceful creatures.

Thanks to the life support of $12 trillion and 515 rate cuts by the world’s central banks since March 2009, the global economy’s heart is beginning to beat again.

Wall St. Pundits have summarily exculpated Ben Bernanke from the negative effects derived from artificial interest rates and massive increase in the Fed’s balance sheet.

The recent collapse in gold price hasn’t discouraged consumers across Asia, and in particular from China and India from buying yellow metal.

The saying, “Close, but no cigar!”  could probably be used now, to describe gold & silver investors trying to call a turn in the market.

In the final part of the article on the rising convertibility of the Chinese Yuan, towards the end of this year we look further into the path both the Chinese Yuan will follow and the changes that will follow in the global monetar

“Experts” speak much on inflation and deflation, but most peoples understanding of them come from academics (aka “educators”), people whose self interest lies in keeping the public unenlightened of what they actually mean.  As lon

“When the Federal Reserve decides to move interest rates higher the bond market will collapse.  It will be the biggest bubble the world has even seen and all will suffer!” “In the end it will not matter if you were early p

“In life we all have an unspeakable secret, and unreachable dream, an irreversible regret, and an unforgettable love.”


-    Diego Marchi

Markets provide an opportunity to grow one’s capital, and create a return on capital, in addition to a return of capital, its preservation being the benchmark to ensure it remains fully intact.

It has been a very long couple of years for the precious metal bugs.

The Percent Buy Index (PBI) shows the percentage of medium-term BUY signals for all the stocks in the S&P 500 Index, and the chart tells us if the index is medium-term overbought or oversold.



China FXI (Stock Market Proxy ETF) Chart

Despite the recent weakness, the broad market has displayed a fair amount of resilience in the face of rising interest rates and falling commodity prices.  The charts even leave us with some hope that there will be one more rally

In a continuation of the article on the rising convertibility of the Chinese Yuan towards the end of this year we look further into the path both the Chinese Yuan will follow and the changes that will follow in the global monetary

If you hold precious metals in your portfolio, there is a good chance you fear hyperinflation and the crash of fiat currencies.

At the conclusion, I will offer a solution.


Society requires money to be maximally fungible, as this maximizes the division-of-labor which increases efficiency, productivity and prosperity.

Australia and New Zealand, as well as many other nations around the world, have caught an economic virus of sorts.

Silver's massive surge since late January has naturally made it wildly popular these days.

One of the simplest and best ways to ascertain gold's long-term trend is to look at its performance relative to commodities in general.

Over the past couple week’s investors and traders have been growing increasingly bearish for the US stock market.

In one of the most audacious hearings I have seen, Apple CEO Tim Cook, was summoned to Congress last week to explain why his company has not paid any corporate income tax to any national government on more than $74 billion in over

One of the simplest and best ways to ascertain gold's long-term trend is to look at its performance relative to commodities in general.

The USTreasury Bond is the primary vehicle for the USDollar. Nations do not hold the USDollar in raw currency form, except for the crime syndicates. They hold them in USTBond form, in order to gather some interest income.


The gold bears may have gotten themselves into a bit of hot water.   

The Fed’s purpose, when it comes down to it, is to buy bonds. Under their various “Quantitative Easing” (QE) programs, they sure have bought a lot of bonds. This pushes up the price of the bonds.

Commodities stocks have two primary drivers, commodities prices and the general stock markets.  When both are doing well, commodities stocks thrive.  But when both are weak, commodities stocks amplify their losses as we’ve seen du

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In the Aztec language the name for gold is teocuitlatl which means "excrement of the gods."

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