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Bear's Lair

Bear Markets always follow Bull markets and a severe stock market correction is long overdue. Bears Lair will spot, monitor and analyze the stock market correction as it develops.

 

It is becoming more and more evident with each passing week that the gold market, along with commodities in general, have seen a bottom and will continue to consolidate or move higher in the weeks and months ahead.

I have written extensively over the past two years about precious metals leasing and its manipulative effect on the markets.

After a month that saw more good earnings, robust growth in Gross Domestic Product, a soaring Dow Industrial Average-- up 10% for the month of April, the best performance in a single month since October 1982--the first quarter of 1

Chart Symmetry is designed around the observation that prices tend to change direction along certain preferred gradients. New readers are advised to read the first article in this series to discover how Chart Symmetry works.

Talk of returning to a gold standard conjures up images in most investor's minds of government confiscation of gold and tight money supply, among other things.

The broad U.S. stock market continued to show its underlying strength last week in the face of a bearish near-term technical picture.

Before the 1990s boom in equity prices, a 3% dividend yield was considered a harbinger of a market top. The long term average yield is over 4%.

Recovery in cyclical stocks. .

Just as teenagers are going to find out about sex, adults are going to find out about day trading.



Say this for the kids, at least they're using condoms.

Chart Symmetry is designed around the observation that prices tend to change direction along certain preferred gradients. New readers are advised to read the first article in this series to discover how Chart Symmetry works.

The stock market is certainly taking on all the characteristics of a runaway train, completely out of control and destined for an accident.

Never in the past 71 years has there been a week like last week (week of April 12) which saw the Dow set five consecutive record highs at the same time the S&P 500 Index declined for four consecutive days and key stocks like IB

A "B Wave" Rebound. . . or the first phase of a thrust to new highs.

Bankers hate precious metals; they cannot create them, to lend, with the stroke of their pens.

Chart Symmetry is designed around the observation that prices tend to change direction along certain preferred gradients. Different preferred gradients are linked though the Fibonacci ratio.

Distribution under the cover of a firm Dow Jones umbrella . . . has been our straight forward multi-day assessment here.

Earlier in this report, I discussed common misperceptions on how gold behaves during cycles of inflation and deflation.



Source: Baseline



Chart: Recent massacre of gold by speculative selling

It was quite an euphoric week for the bulls as they took full advantage of the window of opportunity before the onset of 1st quarter earnings announcements.

During the last part of 1998 and continuing into 1999, there has been an increasing amount of soul-searching among intelligent people around the world over the condition of our money system, asset market price levels, political pro

Wednesday's "Popover" stock market. .

Chart Symmetry is designed around the observation that prices tend to change direction along certain preferred gradients. Different preferred gradients are linked though the Fibonacci ratio.

In the coming weeks and months, one of the most reliable leading indicators for the U.S. stock market will not necessarily be a broad-market, capitalization-weighted index or momentum indicator.

The quarter-end rally couldn't quite hold today as the Dow closed at 9,786, after trading at 10,000 this morning (3/31/99).

Well, I suppose the answer has to be yes. Even as you're going down for the third time, with an anchor caught around your neck, and a shark noshing on your ankle, there's a glimmer of hope.

After briefly again printing Dow 10,000 . . . in early Wednesday trading, the market sold-off a bit, in harmony with our call for what would happen if there was an early rally as opposed to early decline.

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