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Gold Editorials & Commentary

September 20, 2014

Long term – on major sell signal since Mar 2012. Short term – on sell signals. Gold sector cycle – down as of 8/8. COT data suggests a top is in for the metals.

HIGH ALERT!!! The stock market sits at a very precarious place this weekend. There are important and rare technical indicators that are contemporaneously telling us that a major stock market top is close at hand and a powerful and damaging stock market decline is...

Forget all the news, all the fundamentals, all the [mostly errant] price projections. There is a reason why a picture is worth more than 1,000 words, and this is one of those times where it is best to focus on pictures of the market, over various time frames, to...

September 19, 2014

The byline should read Money Velosity Hits Record Low, While Money Supply Continues To Go Into Orbit…Systematic Failure Is Evident As Policy Is Not Stimulus At All…The Pricipal Cause For The Breakdown Id Monetary Policy, Which Is Stuck In Place.

Gold stocks have plunged in September, crushed by the withering selling pressure from heavy futures shorting hammering gold. As usual, these falling prices have kindled extreme bearishness on this left-for-dead sector. But despite this rotten sentiment, gold...

Gold, Silver MACD, Commodity Assets, FXI & GDXJ Analysis via Videos.

By the beginning of the 1960s, the U.S.$ 35 = 1 oz. Gold price was becoming more and more difficult to sustain. Gold demand was rising and U.S. Gold reserves were falling, both as a result of the ever increasing trade deficits which the U.S. continued to run with...

Since last summer, investing in the mining sector has been akin to riding a mini roller coaster. There have been two huge rallies, two sudden and sharp declines while more than a handful of individual stocks have rebounded over 200% from their lows. Nevertheless, as...

September 18, 2014

Gold has an inverse relationship with the US Dollar so when the dollar declines gold rises. The dollar is affected by monetary policy as decided by the various central bankers across the planet. We recently covered the effect of the European version of QE with an...

We’ve been looking at massive H&S patterns in the last two reports I’ve posted so you can get a feel for the bigger picture which is so important to grasp. It’s always much easier to make money trading within the big trend. For instance if you’ve been trading...

The Pope just observed that the situation in the world today amounts to a Third World War – he’s right and although he didn’t point the finger, we know what it’s all about – the maintenance and imposition of the dollar as the dominant world currency, by diplomacy or...

September 17, 2014

Some of you might be wondering what happened to gold at the 4pm (MDT) open, particularly in light of the rather benign, steady-as-she-goes Fed announcement. This looks like it might have to do with the Scotland independence vote in the UK tomorrow. [One man's...

I think we have an interesting setup in gold and silver here. Back in May, after a 2-month decline, gold pulled a fast one on the bears and surged higher producing a fake breakdown. But that surge petered out and gold topped in July, then went on another 2-month...

While many economists and market watchers have failed to notice, we have entered a new chapter in the short and checkered history of central banking. This paradigm shift, as yet unaddressed in the textbooks, changes the basic policy tools that have traditionally...

One of the striking ironies of our modern economy is that government bonds are considered safe-haven investments, while gold is a “barbarous relic” to be avoided at all costs. Since the 2008 financial collapse, the bond market has been on a tear, thanks to the...

September 16, 2014

Gold recently fell to its lowest level in seven-and-a-half months as the dollar rose to a 14-month high. Easing tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East also acted as a drag on gold and silver prices. Investors have been asking the obvious question as to whether...

I promised yesterday to answer the question "why?" is it that silver and gold are manipulated. Some people say "who cares?". Some don't believe it while others don't even have clue that it's happening. "Gold bugs" for the most part are angry but I sense they are...

Gold is the ultimate asset, and I think both the bulls and bears are probably going to learn that fact, the hard way. The gold bears view QE tapering and looming US interest rate hikes, as bearish for gold, and the bulls are sure gold is ready to soar vastly higher...

Gold prices have begun this week on a slightly firmer note, reversing the trend of the previous six days, after physical buying emerged in Asia as well as some short covering ahead of a meeting of the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee meeting this week.

Gold is now at a key juncture and it should reveal its price action structure in the coming weeks. The first chart is my main Elliott Wave count and shows a Double Three Corrective Pattern (W)-(X)-(Y) in process from the top in 2011. You can see that Gold is...

If you talk to any legend in the resource sector and ask them how it is they created the majority of their wealth, the answer is along the same lines every time. Successful investors such as Doug Casey, Rick Rule, Eric Sprott, and every other household name were...

September 15, 2014

Despite post Labor Day sell-off in precious metals, junior miners maintain uptrend. The junior miners are usually a leading indicator. Is this outperformance forecasting an inflection point for the precious metals? Going into the overbought US equity, bond dollar...

Using the standard weekly currency chart we followed along for months as the Euro found resistance at the long-term downtrend line as expected, the commodity currencies long ago lost major support and non-confirmed the commodity complex and the US dollar moved from...

Wall Street powerhouse Goldman Sachs has recently reiterated its negative view on gold, which it has held for the past year. However, it is now doubling down on this view and advising clients to actually go short the metal. Jeff Currie, head of commodity research at...

September 14, 2014

In our article July 13th, 2014 we warned that a “significant decline is coming to the stock market.” In that article we presented evidence of several Bearish divergences we were tracking between prices and key indicators for our subscribers at A Significant Decline...

Historically tax-free municipal bonds (Blue Plot below) have yielded less than taxable best-grade corporate bonds (Red Plot). This has been true for two reasons: Their owners receive tax free income. State and local governments service their bonds via taxes.

September 13, 2014

General markets continued to consolidate while we are seeing some nice moves in select stocks still. It is a stock pickers market at the moment and I am a stock picker!

Long term – on major sell signal since Mar 2012. Short term – on sell signals. Gold sector cycle – down as of 8/8. COT data suggests a top is in for the metals.

Today’s stock valuation is more grossly exaggerated and unrealistically inflated than in the 1920s. Historic testament suggests today’s pie-in-the-sky lofty stock prices are irrational and driven by the artificial force of the Fed’s QE…and fueled by illogical...

September 12, 2014

Gold and silver have been pounded lower over the past month, contrary to their bullish seasonals. This selling pressure has come from the usual suspects, American futures speculators. They’ve been busy aggressively dumping gold and silver futures, particularly on...

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A single ounce of gold (about 28 grams) can be stretched into a gold thread 5 miles (8 kilometers) long.

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