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Gold Editorials & Commentary

Gold-Eagle gold and precious metal news, market analysis and editorials from world renowned gold analysts and market experts.  Stay informed with the latest news and analyses on gold prices and perspectives on the economy to guide your investing decisions.

 

December 31, 2013

Gold’s been frustrating, to say the least. Plus, its characteristics changed in September. Gold failed to rise during its best seasonal time, and when the dollar was declining. These factors alone were bearish signs.
In addition, gold jewelry demand was the highest...

The Western super-crisis entered a lull period in 2013, and surging economic growth in America has become the main focus of most mainstream analysts. The stock market tends to lead the economy by about six months, so it’s likely that much of US economic growth in...

What year, 1921 or 2006, did Congress awaken to the fact that it could use the Federal Reserve System to obtain revenue without taxes? When did deficit spending become institutionalized? When did the gradually increasing issuance of Treasury bonds from the Fed...

I’ve often said that trying to stop a bull market has risks. It was certainly precarious to think this year’s run would end anytime soon. By December 27, the S&P 500 Index climbed an astounding 31.86 percent in 2013. We’re also pleased that shareholders in U.S....

Yes folks, it's that time of year again; but unlike old Khayyam who reflected bucolically on the continuing availability of wine, we must turn our thoughts to the dangers and opportunities of the coming year. They are considerable and multi-faceted, but instead of...

Sentiment in the financial markets always gets re-balanced by two variables: time and price. The U.S. dollar underwent a massive bear market from 2002-2008, and bearish sentiment by the end of that bear market reigned supreme. But as dollar bears grew louder in...

So far this year (2013) has been a great year for trading and my 2014 forecast looks to be as good if not even better. I do have something exciting to share with you that is going to make 2014 really amazing, but first let me talk about the stock market and what is...

December 30, 2013

The best time to buy cheap is when you are afraid to bring up your ideas around the water cooler at work for fear of the peer laughter. Our work centers on looking for oversold conditions and crowd behavioral anomalies that can give us better low risk entries with...

Trading volume across all exchanges has been muted lately due to the holidays. Traders are still mostly on vacation which has produced low volatility and a lack of excitement. Not much is going on in the news front, either.

In our most recent commentary, we discussed the outlook for the USD Index, Euro Index, and how these currencies were likely to impact gold. We summarized the essay by writing that the situation was bullish for the USD Index, and bearish for the euro. We wrote that...

Last week I wrote an article on why I think the bull market in stocks is coming to an end. As usual the retail public is chasing a move that is extremely mature and ripe to reverse, while assuming that the current trend will continue. Amateurs always make this...

Since the beginning of gold's bull market in the early 2000s, we have recommended an unambiguous course of action: Own the physical metal -- fully paid for and stored nearby -- then sit back and watch the show.
Part of watching the show is the forecast and...

The Democratic Party gained prominence in the first half of the nineteenth century as being the party that opposed the Second Bank of the United States. In the process, it tapped into an anti-state sentiment that proved so strong that we wouldn't see another like it...

The hubris among today’s exuberant stock bulls is unbelievable and groundless, given the extreme levels of the underlying stock evaluation fundamentals. How can these delusional bulls in good conscience continue recommending (ie pumping) the purchase of Dow stocks...

This quarterly gold chart is providing us with a powerful clue. From my experience any time an item touches a very long term trend line for the fourth time and bounces off of it we are being provided an excellent clue.

December 29, 2013

Sorry for writing this before the last gold price of 2013 has been posted by the markets. But on New Year’s Eve I’ll be busy with more pressing matters than writing this article, using the actual last price of the year. I expect nothing exciting will happen in the...

December 28, 2013

We’ve got another week of lower volume most likely with traders starting to come back next Thursday but likely not real volume coming back until January 6th. A very slow week in terms of volume with most off for Christmas but the price action was strong as stocks...

2013 comes to an end, and with it all those calls for gold and silver to be at much higher price levels. What will 2014 bring? More and more renewed calls for much higher price levels. Will 2014 be the year?

Long term – on major sell signal since Mar 2012. Short term – on mixed signals. Gold sector cycle – up as of 12/27. COT data is now favorable for a bear market rally.

December 27, 2013

Much confusion persists regarding the method, or mechanics, of how the big banks are able to push the price of precious metals around at will for so long. GATA and Ted Butler have long established and outlined the reasons why this occurs (legally). They have also...

December 26, 2013

Let us take a break from the hustle & bustle loaded to the gills with nastiness and mayhem. Consider some information cookies during the Christmas holiday down time, not without a few lumps of coal. The deceptions are deep; the ranks of dupes are legion;...

There are two reasons why people buy gold and silver. The first is that they’re the monetary metals. Many people don’t want more than a certain exposure to the risks of the banking system. They hold dollars for liquidity and beyond that exchange them for metallic...

Today we take a look at the Bullish Percent Index chart relative to Gold’s cycle and Gold Stocks. Essentially it tells you what percentage of Gold sector stocks are at or above a moving average, which normally would be 50 days. When 70% or more are above a 50 day...

Well the Fed in its infinite wisdom has gone and done it again. They've created another bubble. And this bubble is arguably the 6th in the last 13 years (tech, real estate, credit, bond, oil, and now stocks - again). And let’s footnote the Fed’s creation of the...

December 24, 2013

In the biggest picture, Western precious metals investors are going to have their golden cake, and eat it too!

Last month, when asked about bit-coin, the old chairman stated… "In order for currencies to be 'exchangeable' they have to be backed by something," A truly remarkable statement when one considers what gold bugs know and all other nations of the world recognize in...

Market events such as crashes and panics are thought by economists to be random, unpredictable events. To the contrary, such events are nothing if not predictable and often arrive with recognizable regularity. A cursory examination of the last few decades will...

BIG PICTURE – Interest rates are near historic lows, credit is cheap and the prominent central banks are not planning to pursue tough monetary policies anytime soon. Consequently, the stock markets of the developed world are rallying and their property markets are...

December 23, 2013

The press has framed Ben Bernanke's valedictory press conference last week in heroic terms. It's as if a veteran quarterback engineered a stunning come-from-behind drive in his final game, and graciously bowed out of the game with the ball sitting on the opponent's...

The dollar made a multiyear high, closing on Thursday at over 26mg gold! Not even the Fed’s propaganda squad would trumpet this as good news and not in this way. And, of course, the gold bugs regard it as bad news. Though they say that the dollar is going to zero,...

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