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Gold Editorials & Commentary

February 23, 2018

All great events hang by a hair. The man of ability takes advantage of everything and neglects nothing that can give him a chance of success; whilst the less able man sometimes loses everything by neglecting a single one of those chances.

As a general rule, the most successful man in life is the man who has the best information. The global economy is booming again after years in the doldrums, commodities are back in a big way, and metals prices are for the most part, way up.

Here are today's videos and charts.

Gold is faring quite well today technically, though you sure wouldn’t know it from the rampant bearish sentiment. Gold’s price is in a strong uptrend over a year old, high in both its current upleg and young bull market. Gold isn’t far from breaking out to its best...

February 22, 2018

Gold and gold ETF now testing critical near-term benchmark price. Failure to hold above this level would break the immediate-term trend. Fear factor still high, so don't give up on the metal yet.

Russia has overtaken China as the fifth-biggest sovereign holder of gold, allowing it to diversify its foreign currency holdings amid a deepening rift with the US, Bloomberg News’ Eddie van der Walt reported overnight.

February 21, 2018

The doomsayers have been calling for recession for years. Mainstream economists laughed at them, painting a rosy picture. However, the recent plunge in the stock market strengthened the pessimists’ hand. They interpret the dive as a signal of a coming recession. Is...

Investors got lulled into a state of inflation complacency. Persistently low official inflation rates in recent years depressed bond yields along with risk premiums on all financial assets.

Sputnik: After a significant fall in the currency during December and January, Bitcoin is showing signs of a recovery in value. Could we see the coin regain value pre-2018 levels?

February 20, 2018

It is my privilege now to welcome in Chris Powell, Secretary-Treasurer at the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee, also known as GATA. Chris is a long time journalist and a hard money advocate and through his tireless efforts at GATA he is working to expose the...

I’ve noted that when China’s markets go quiet during the “Golden Week” holiday, the gold price tends to soften.

The gold market is setting up for a perfect storm as the top mining producers’ supply is forecasted to decline right when demand is likely to surge.  The surge in gold demand will occur as the broader stock markets roll over and begin their inevitable massive...

The best performing metal this week was palladium, up an impressive 7.17 percent after having been trending down since the middle of January. The weekly Bloomberg survey showed gold traders are overwhelmingly bullish after being bearish last week as the yellow metal...

It is widely believed that silver leads gold during bull markets for these metals. I wonder how this belief first arose and persists to this day given that it is contrary to the historical record.

For European banks, it’s a headache that just won’t go away: the 944 billion euros ($1.17 trillion) of non-performing loans that’s weighing down their balance sheets. Economists say the pile of past-due and delinquent debt makes it harder for banks to lend more...

Our proprietary price modeling systems are showing us that our expected price basing, which we have been warning our members of for near 3 months, has altered in range and scope.  What we did expect to happen near February 21 is now expected to START sometime...

February 19, 2018

After a surprisingly strong and especially fast rally from an oversold bottom in mid-December at 1,236 USD up to 1,365 USD within less than seven weeks - and the recent pullback down to 1,305 USD, gold has been rushing back up towards 1,360 USD over the last couple...

In the past few weeks, we have argued that interest rates will not rise. We have made our arguments based on observable cases of soft credit demand that falls with rising rates, and analysis of the incentives on creditors and debtors. Ours is a case that rates can’t...

As a technical trader, I like it when multiple charts, indicators, and asset classes agree with each other for trade setups. This short article is to show you some of the things I look at which provide a buy signal for gold stocks.

After rallying from its 2540 low as quickly as it came down, SPX completed a .618 retracement of its decline and looks ready to move down again. Since there is no distribution at its last Friday high, it is possible that it will have to create some if it is now...

February 18, 2018

Gold continues to prepare to break out of its giant Head-and-Shoulders bottom pattern. As we can see on its 8-year chart below, this base pattern has been developing for getting on for 5-years now, so it has major implications. Upside volume has been building for a...

Inflation is back. So what does this mean for gold? The consumer price index came in hotter than expected at 2.1%. A CNBC report said the number "pushes the economy toward a potential danger zone for inflation."

Gold spiked in January, and looked to be headed even higher. But there were some problems. First, futures speculators - as tracked by the Commitment of Traders (COT) report - had gone overwhelmingly long, and since they tend to be wrong at emotional extremes, this...

Such a high hurdle indeed: Base Camp 1377. For as we stated a week ago, each time gold as if a magnet pulls in the prices of the 1360s, 'tis is repelled by the pushing forces emanating down from the opposing iconic magnet at 1377, ostensibly gold's highest hurdle in...

Here’s something we don’t see every day; the Dow Jones correcting over 10% in just nine trading days (January 26th to February 8th), then snapping back 5% in the next five. And the violence of the 10% decline, seen in Mr Bear’s report card below is remarkable.

February 17, 2018

The stock market pullback of the last couple of weeks has shown that markets are jittery, and will likely be volatile for a while as investors keep a vigil on rising bond yields (inflation) and potential interest rate hikes. In these uncertain times, one sector that...

Over the past month, we have heard a growing roar of dissent and fear as people within the United States and around the financial world worried about a rapidly approaching deadline. A deadline, that if reached, would spell disaster for all!

Despite a tough week for stocks into Friday, February 9, three big picture macro indicators have continued to support a risk ‘on’ backdrop. Many of the shorter-term indicators we watch, like Junk bond ratios and the Palladium/Gold ratio say the same thing.

Long-term – on major buy signal. Short-term – on sell signals, a pullback is in progress. Gold sector cycle is down. COT data is supportive for overall higher metal prices. We are holding gold related ETFs for long-term gain.

February 16, 2018

Here are today's videos and charts.

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