For silver, all roads probably lead to the $22-$25 area. For gold, all roads likely lead to $1600-$1800. There could be significant bumps in these roads, probably involving time more than price.
Gold Editorials & Commentary
October 15, 2019
At present, there could be a number of positive developments for precious metals. Last Friday, the US Dollar cracked lower and could be at risk of lower levels into year end.
“De Nederlandsche Bank (DNB) holds more than 600 tonnes of gold. A bar of gold always retains its value, crisis or no crisis. This creates a sense of security. A central bank’s gold stock is therefore regarded as a symbol of solidity Shares, bonds and other...
October 14, 2019
Precious metals moved strongly on Friday, and did so on significant volume. The reversals we have seen on Thursday got resolved with a heavy thud. Let’s dive into the many charts and perspectives and explore how well they support the upcoming move across the sector...
The markets basically ignored the Fed talk last week, as U.S. - China trade war developments stole investors’ attention away from the scheduled news releases. But it was worth paying attention to our last week’s News Calendar that highlighted U.K.’s economic data...
The second week of October showcased a vigilant effort from both bulls and bears in realizing their short-term targets/goals. However, in the end, the bulls won the key battles again with the massive bull engulf daily candlestick (2881.75-2954 on the Emini S&P...
This week, we will delve into something really abstract. Not like monetary economics, which is so simple even a caveman can do it.
Why is nobody talking about the real risk of contagion to investors, savers & companies?
Gold is inside a long-term Bull market, as the supply of fiat currencies rise per ounce of Gold. Simple math. The Elliott Wave mapping is in tune with this fundamental fact. Gold is rising inside a rising trend, the third wave of a five subwave Bull market, Minor...
Ever since it made its all-time high of 3028 on 7/21, SPX has been trading in a 200-point range which could either be a consolidation pattern, or the building of an intermediate top formation. The same can be said of IWM, although the latter made its high almost a...
October 13, 2019
High-country greetings once again from beautiful Squaw Valley. This week's missive is brief and -- given Gold is still slanted toward the Shorts -- not necessarily sweet. Our brevity is due to: a) an urgency to travel back across a still substantially powerless...
The Dow Jones continues running wild and free in its BEV chart below; eight months of going nowhere fast bounded between its BEV 0.00% and -7.50% lines. For all the effort it took to keep it between a new all-time high and only 7.5% away from one since last February...
October 12, 2019
Gold sector is on major buy signal. GLD is on short-term sell signal. GDX is on short-term buy signal. XGD.to is on short-term buy signal. GDXJ is on short-term buy signal.
Let’s take a look at some indicators that can come together to let us know when the next inflationary bout is in the offing. The spread between 10yr and 2yr yields (the most commonly watched yield spread/curve) is still steepening on the short-term. Live chart...
Perspective is everything when it comes to the markets. It is always most important to look at the long term charts first and then work your way back to the shorter timeframes. Long term charts also show where major support and resistance resides that can have a...
Many people don't like negative interest rates. For that reason some politicians called for a ban on negative interest rates. This is a price control and that doesn't bode well for financial stability. Psychologists might be able to explain why people seen to prefer...
October 11, 2019
It is my privilege now to welcome back David Smith, senior analyst at The Morgan Report and regular contributor to MoneyMetals.com. David, good to talk to you and thanks for the time. How are you?
Gold investment demand was strong in the months following gold’s decisive breakout to new bull-market highs in late June. The metal’s upside momentum fueled big capital inflows, accelerating its gains. But soon after gold’s upleg stalled, so did the investment...
The recent rotation in the US stock market and US major indexes have set up a very interesting pattern in the Metals and VIX charts. Our researchers believe precious metals, Gold and Silver, are setting up a new momentum base/bottom and are beginning an early stage...
The Fed released the minutes from its last meeting yesterday. What can we learn from the new light they shine on the U.S. monetary policy? How will it affect the gold market?
Gold is marginally higher today but 0.6% lower for the week at $1,499/oz despite a very positive back drop with increasing geopolitical, monetary and systemic risks
October 10, 2019
This article posits that there is an unpleasant conjunction of events beginning to undermine government finances in advanced nations. They combine the arrival of a long-term trend of rising welfare commitments with an increasing certainty of a global-scale credit...
The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) – the Central Bank of Central Banks – released two reports on “unconventional policy tools” – e.g. QE/money printing and interest rate suppression. It concluded that the extreme Central Bank interference since 2008 has...
The rate at which black swans are showing up in the world should scare the hell out of people. But, unfortunately, everyone seems to be lost in the highly complex technology of I-phones, computers, social media, and the telly to notice that something is definitely...
October 9, 2019
Earlier this year, I wrote an analysis suggesting that a major reversal was taking place in the precious metals markets. The central thesis of this argument rested on the changes in investor inflow activity that were becoming visible in several important exchange-...
Precious metals prices have rallied in 2019 as global central banks reverse their policies of tightening and rate increases. And now even more rate cuts and restarted QE are on the way.
“Hello, my name is Jerome. I’m a central banker.” “Hello, my name is Janet. I’m a Keynesian.” “Hello, my name is Ben. I’m a monetizer.” “Hello, my name is Alan. I’m an inflationist.” “Hello, my name is Paul. I’m a central banker.”
It is led by institutions and funds, not private investors. Global quantitative easing created a huge and mobile pool of capital in constant need of a place to call home. As the need for a safe haven became apparent among the stewards of that capital, the demand for...
For reasons unknown, October has historically been the most volatile month for the stock market—by a goodly margin. Between 1950 and the end of 2017, the S&P 500 Index saw as many as 362 trading days during the month of October in which the market moved up or...
October 8, 2019
As the correction in gold stocks continues and as it’s likely to endure for the time being, we take a step back and share some tips for selecting individual junior gold companies.
