Gold Editorials & Commentary

Just when everyone was getting used to gold sitting around and doing nothing while tech stocks provided non-stop thrills and chills, the metal took off this morning on the “news” (read “Tweet”) that Trump is aiming some cruise missiles at Syria.

As the U.S. and global economy speed towards the Seneca Cliff, very few individuals understand the fragile nature of currencies.  Today, we use the lightning speed of the digital banking system to make our purchases at the store or online.  It has become seemingly...

President Donald Trump warned Russia in the last hour to “get ready” as U.S. missiles would soon be sent into Syria in response to a suspected chemical weapons attack.

There has been some revisionist history written lately regarding the gold price smash of September 2011. Since we at TFMR were paying close attention at the time, we are in the unique position of reminding everyone what really happened.

Gold benefits from weaker dollar even as U.S.-China trade fears melt. Threat of a US military response in Syria keeps safety trade intact. Rally in oil price also teases the return of gold's inflation component.

It’s a relatively quiet trend, but the most active of investors—hedge funds and traders—are aggressively putting gold hedges in place. It shouldn’t really be a surprise, given the recent spike in volatility in the stock market. It hasn’t been reported much in the...

The main drivers of global stock, bond, and gold markets are interest rates and demographics. Unfortunately, most investors focus on items that get a lot of media attention but are almost irrelevant to price discovery in the markets.

Ross Norman, proprietor of venerable London bullion dealer Sharps Pixley, writes today, "Gold is struggling to find friends." Is Norman himself one? It apparently depends on the day.

What is truth? I suppose that question has caused more than one person to sit and think for a while. In today’s society we have more information at our fingertips than ever before. The great libraries of the world cannot compare with the data available from a single...

After being mostly absent in 2017, volatility has made a comeback. The S&P 500 Index closed down for the first three months of 2018—the first time it’s done so in 10 quarters. It also had its worst start to April since 1929. Gold performed as expected during the...

The stock market was trading at an all-time high valuation of 150% of GDP this January. That was indeed the bell rung at the very top. Stocks have since started to roll over, but valuations are still at 140% of the underlying economy. And that is, historically...

The best performing metal this week was gold, up 0.62 percent. Gold posted its third quarterly gain last quarter, for the longest run since 2011, according to Bloomberg. The weekly Bloomberg survey of trader sentiment showed that most gold traders were neutral this...

Do you want to lend your hard-earned money to the US government? In exchange for the high, high interest rate of 2.8%? It’s a most generous deal, even though the Federal Reserve is committed to dollar devaluation at the rate of 2% per annum. So you are getting 0.8%...

The driving trends of the past decade are now reversing. The saying "the worm has turned" refers to the moment when the downtrodden have finally had enough, and turn on their powerful oppressors.

When I played pro hockey in Richmond, Virgina, it was during the era of "Slapshot!" and the Broad Street Bullies when gooning (fighting) was fashionable and an integral part of the sport. Stocking your team with two-or three enforcers meant that the finesse players...

In a January post, I showed how the price of gold rallied in the months following the 2015 and 2016 December interest rate hikes—as much as 29 percent in the former cycle, 17.8 percent in the latter. Gold ended 2017 up double digits, despite pressure from...

As everyone seems glued to their twitter accounts or their news feeds, the market has been both rallying and fading despite all the negative news of these trade wars that are supposedly going to tank our equity market.

Recent news about the US and China posturing for Trade Deals and the continued increase in rhetoric has weighed heavily on the markets these past few weeks.  Yes, trade issues are a concern for nations and fair trade is essential to support both economies.  Yet, the...

. . . And a season for every activity under the heavens. So too, a time for the bull and a time for the bear and it would seem we are in for a change of the seasons. A change of that nature is not a one day affair, but is spread over time. We are well aware of the...

As depicted above in the Scoreboard through these first 14 weeks of 2018, gold's weekly closes have been tightly arrayed between 1314 and 1349. That's all: a range of 35 points, (or +2.7% from low-to-high). Thus price sits tight despite so many plights from tariffs...

Our proprietary cycle indicator is up. Gold sector is on major buy signal since early 2016. GLD is on short-term buy signal. GDX is on short-term buy signal.

Summary: Timmy, a precocious ten-year-old opens a lemonade stand and learns about unbacked currencies. “Dad, I’m excited and ready for business. Mom made me sign an IOU when she gave me sugar and frozen lemonade so I have stuff to sell.” Timmy looked up at his...

We began months ago, noting the 3 Amigos destined for their goals. Here’s a post from November 2017 explaining the macro fundamentals involved: Amigo #1 (SPX vs. Gold): Either reach major theoretical resistance (it’s a ratio, after all) or abort mission by...

Do you know how much a trillion is (we refer here to the short scale)? A billion is hard enough to imagine, much less a trillion. But let’s try. We can write it as 1,000,000,000,000 – that’s a 1 with twelve zeroes. In other words it’s a million million, or ten to...

Here are today's videos and charts.

Something strange has been happening in precious metals lately. Gold has been doing a lot better than silver, even as the paper market internals have increasingly predicted the opposite. The result is a gold/silver ratio that’s near the top of its historic range:

The most powerful banker in the world, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon, just released his annual letter to shareholders. Behind Warren Buffett’s annual missive, Dimon’s letter is probably the most read and deliberated executive report out there. For one, Dimon is one...

We have been here before – twice. The first time was in the late 1920s, which led to the dollar’s devaluation in 1934. And the second was 1966-68, which led to the collapse of the Bretton Woods System. Even though gold is now officially excluded from the monetary...

The dollar is failing. Millions of people can see at least some of the major signs, such as the collapse of interest rates, record high number of people not counted in the workforce, and debt rising from already-unpayable levels at an accelerating rate.

The shift from low to high volatility in the markets is on. And almost by default, that’ll include gold and silver, since they’re inversely correlated to stock markets most of the time. We’ve already seen this at work. The S&P 500 fell 2.2% on April 2, and in...