Gold Editorials & Commentary

A wild, wild week for major US markets and many leading stocks. After falling hard we saw a bottom late Monday and we were lucky enough to buy several leading fast movers late Monday and we saw them rise sharply into Thursday where we didn’t nail the top and gave...

Long term – on major sell signal since Mar 2012. Short term – on sell signals. Gold sector cycle – down as of 3/21, ending the up cycle since 12/27. COT data is not supportive for higher prices overall.

For the past year, we have been saying that the charts for gold and silver are likely bottoming in a normal manner, and it takes time for a this kind of formation to complete itself. It remains the case, to date.

Gold and gold mining shares recovered during the first quarter with the metal rising 6.5% and precious metals shares (basis XAU) 8.7% through March 31st. It appears to us that the precious metals complex has bottomed and is attempting to gain footing following the...

Gold bugs have been forecasting a dollar collapse for years. They have been correct about the gold price, which has advanced nearly 400% in the past 12 years versus a gain of just 64% for the S&P 500. They were also correct about the dollar during the first...

Yesterday the gold price hit a two-week high ($1,324.40) thanks to a healthy mixture of safe-haven demand, a weaker US dollar index and, of cours

The question that should be asked but never is. “Are we in worse shape than we were just prior to the last great financial crisis or are we better off?” I believe that very few, if any, of the problems that caused the last financial crisis have been mended. In fact...

Chart Analysis Commodity Index, Silver, GDX & DOW Trouble via videos.

The American GDX Gold Miners ETF is slowly becoming the de-facto standard for measuring gold-stock performance. Nearing its eighth birthday, GDX has even usurped the venerable HUI gold-stock index as this sector’s metric of choice in many circles. While GDX has...

The Gold Fix - Despite the furore surrounding the Gold Fix [unfairly, we believe] it is a singularly determined attempt amongst commodities to set a twice daily price that does reflect demand and supply of gold, at those moments. To understand this we have to see...

On average, every quarter we are exposed to yet another price guidance by a mainstream analyst. Such analysts usually reside within a large investment bank. These calls become focal points for a sector and often seem to carry with them some form of self-fulfilling...

I am often asked whether or not western governments are likely to confiscate gold, and my answer has invariably been on the lines of "unlikely at the moment, because so few people own gold". However given low stock levels in western vaults and that bail-ins are on...

The Fed minutes were dovish and this helped push Gold above $1310 to $1320. However, the miners, which usually lead the metals did little to confirm the rise. In fact, the miners have been relatively weak in recent days and had a bearish reversal on Thursday. Their...

This is a picture of the “Velocity of Money” (US M2). In many respects, this is not a pretty picture. I suppose nothing that has been falling for upwards of 16 years can be considered a sound investment. The velocity of money has broken lows set upwards of 50 years...

Just when you thought it was safe to go back into the market the gold price and junior resource stocks drop and nervous traders declare the sky is falling yet again. I’m not thrilled by the market action of the past two or three weeks but I also don’t think the...

For decades many of us in the hard money world have speculated that cloak and dagger activity by large financial interests has played a large role in determining performance in the gold market. The focus of this alleged manipulation is believed to be in the London...

The Federal Reserve has done everything, in its power, to keep interest rates down longer than ever before to help the economy, but it has not helped. In fact one could argue that the Fed’s tricks have in fact slowed the recovery.

For the past couple of years the European Central Bank has been the only sane inmate in the asylum. Unfortunately, in a crazy world being sane just gets you into trouble. Sound monetary policy leads to a strong currency, which in a currency war is tantamount to...

At the end of every month, I review the performance of my investment portfolio and so should you. In February my holdings gained 12.87%. Year to date (January and February, 2014) my investment portfolio has appreciated by 46%.

There is a stark difference between the states of the markets for the monetary metals. The number of open futures contracts in gold is low, while in silver it’s high. First, let’s look at the data and then we’ll discuss what it means.

A global clash of nations is underway in full gear. The storm is picking up speed, power, intensity, and damaging force. Many are the swirls of the current situation. A hodgepodge of topics have been caught and trapped, best to discharge on paper, the effect like a...

Next month marks the 3-year anniversary of the bear market in silver that started in May 2011. Later this summer we will hit the 3-year anniversaries of the bear markets in gold and gold stocks. We are now psychologically conditioned for pain and punishment in the...

If you are convincingly irrational the market may expect extreme measures and front run your bluff. It’s in this spirit that ECB President Draghi is threatening the market with another bazooka. We discuss implications for investors.

With economies slowing down in China, Japan, Eastern Europe and other regions of the globe, many investors wonder if 2014 will deliver another global deflationary epidemic. As I’ll explain in this commentary, the next six months has the potential to be the most...

A week ago, gold had fallen to about $1277, and many investors and analysts turned bearish there. In contrast, I suggested that the Western gold community should focus on the potential for immediate upside price action.

Hedge yourself against Geopolitical Tensions and Expansionary Monetary Policies of Central Banks with Gold

The 3rd annual Dubai Precious Metals Conference came to a gloomy conclusion yesterday with participants voting for very little or no advance in the gold price this year after a lengthy panel debate between four experts, three of whom saw gold prices falling further...

Based on questions, opinions, and rants from several websites, these are some typical questions and my answers:

After two hard days down in the stock market I'm going to take a contrary position and say that this is just a normal profit taking event and that stocks are going to recover and head back up to new highs. I still think this market needs to have a final blow off...

The gold bull is just taking a giant breather during a very long bull market, which is the good news. To prove this correction is now a ‘bear’ market, gold would have to trade under the 2008 low and I strongly suggest this is unlikely. With the first gold leg...