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Gold Editorials & Commentary

February 3, 2016

The stocks markets worldwide last week rocked back and forth every day until January 29, 2016. That Friday the SPX rallied very sharply. So, with its biggest weekly gains of the year, does this mean the bull market in equities is back? No!

For over six years, the markets have been moving based on Central Banker actions and words. The first phase (2009 to 2013) was dominated by action (ZIRP and QE). The second phase (2013 to the present) was increasingly reliant on words (verbal intervention) as most...

We opened our doors at Elliottwavetrader.net back in 2011 with our top call in the metals market. Since that time, we have been traversing a complex correction for the last 4+ years. And, as I have been saying since the end of last year, we are very close to its...

A lot is riding on the demand side of the equation when it comes to metals' price performance this year. Demand is the bigger wildcard with signals thus far being mixed in gold and silver bullion markets. The outlook for supply is more certain, and it isn't pretty...

February 2, 2016

Gold and Japanese fiat are unlikely friends. During economic crisis, money managers treat both gold and the yen as safe havens. Top FOREX traders use the action of the dollar against the yen for cues to place bets on gold against the dollar.

Gold made a slightly higher high in the overnight session, reaching 1130.80, at the time that this Post was being written. There is no change to what we said in our last End of Day Post, as we expect further gains in wave ^iii^ of *c*. We have mainly repeated our...

It´s been a nasty start into the new year. Deflation (driven by a weak China) keeps on eating into the system and now is visible for everybody. I have been writing about this many times during the last couple of years. Yet the global puzzle has become so complex...

Gold continued to show strength towards the end of January and is now up by over 5% for the first month of 2016. However it is now running in to heavy resistance, we think there is room to push on towards the $1140 region but it should be short lived.

January was the winter of our discontented stock market. It was the worst January since 2008, when the Great Recession officially began. It was, in fact, the worst January in the history of the New York Stock Exchange. According to Citigroup, Inc., it was also the...

February 1, 2016

Bullion for immediate delivery rallied 5 percent in January, according to Bloomberg, the best gain in a year as seen in the chart below. Following the $15 trillion rout in global equity markets since May, the precious metals’ lure has reawakened. Bloomberg also...

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) rattled global markets on Friday by announcing its adoption of a negative interest rate policy intended to spur banks to lend and consumers to spend. The world’s third-largest economy, then, joins a handful of European countries who are...

Japan announced negative interest rates Friday which caused a bounce in Europe and then in the US. It is as if "they saved the world"! I have just a couple of comments before digging in to this. First, "why didn't someone think of this before" -- and "if it were...

The Keynesian elite gathered in Davos Switzerland this past week to pontificate on global economic issues and to strategize the engineering of The Fourth Industrial Revolution. This new so called “revolution” includes a discussion on the future of Artificial...

This week’s heading is a little strange to apply to the markets. Two, perhaps more decades ago, it would have been taken for granted that the strong arm of the law was a ‘given’ for civilised society in developed countries. The silver ‘fix’ on Thursday is final and...

Since we covered the many different markets in detail last week I would like to focus back in on the US dollar and the TLT looking for clues for the big picture direction. The huge daily swings, in say the INDU last week, makes it very hard to keep and hold a short...

The recovery rally in the US stock market that we have been expecting for a week or two started on Friday with a robust advance that gathered strength into the close. The trigger was Japan's announcement that it is going into NIRP (Negative Interest Rate Policy) in...

Gold and silver rallied (5.3% and 3.4% respectively) in January, as stocks fell sharply. Turmoil and sharp falls in Chinese and global stock markets, plunging oil prices, rising stress in credit markets and further signs of weak US and global growth led to a renewed...

The SPX should hold about 1943/44 Monday and then drop to around 1850 by Feb 3 or 4. The astro/fib CIT turns are Feb 1 and Feb 4. There is a Bradley turn due Feb 3-5. The 16 TD low is due Feb 3.

The price of the dollar was down 50mg gold, to 27.8mg, or if you prefer 0.04g silver to 2.18g. Why do we measure the volatile dollar in terms of gold and silver? There’s nothing else to measure it, certainly not the dollar-derivatives called euro, pound, franc, yen...

January 31, 2016

It is now evident that SPX500 has altered its correction to an A-B-C pattern with the C wave currently in progress. Expectations are that the index should complete its upward correction over the next few days -- probably next week. A reversal may or may not result...

Gold speculator and large futures traders sharply added to their gold bullish positions last week, pushing positions higher for the third out of the last four weeks and to the highest level since November, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data...

Well that didn't take long. Two weeks of falling share prices and the European and Japanese central banks go into full panic mode. The ECB promised new stimulus -- which the markets liked -- and then BoJ upped the ante with negative interest rates -- which the...

This was the fourth week that saw days of extreme-market breadth and volatility; NYSE 70% A-D Days and Dow Jones 2% Days. Yes, this week they were positive days. They helped investors and CNBC commentators forget the trials and tribulations of the first three...

Four trading weeks of the new year are now officially in the books, and as much as Gold may feel lackluster to many of you, 'tis had but one losing week of the four. Indeed from the year's low (1061) to its high (1128) is a 6% pop in price, and as we'll below see in...

I wanted to take a bit of time in this post to discuss one of the most important things that those wishing to be successful in trading/investing need to learn, namely detecting shifts in sentiment. Those of you who have been reading my work for a while will be...

January 30, 2016

In this episode, we discussed: Bill’s molding process and challenges, Where you can find Per Diem Metals, The Story of Per Diem Metals, Some Reasons to Own Fractional coins, and The Future of Fractional Coins

Truth be known, short of an uprising or revolution by the masses, which is highly unlikely, the elites have won over the masses, hands down, and the end game is in the final and irreversible stages. Time and again, we have reiterated the elites formulaic strategy...

Gold sector is on major sell signal. Cycle is down. Looking for lower prices overall.Silver is on a long-term sell signal and investors should be in cash or short. Short-term is on buy signal but prices are consolidating, which suggests a break to new low in coming...

Long-term – on major sell signal since Mar 2012 when $HUI was at 550. Short-term – on buy signals. Gold sector cycle – down. Only aggressive and nimble traders should participate in the current market condition.

Another choppy, tough weak with stocks wanting to go higher, then wanting lower…but in the end trying to breakout higher…for now. It’s a tough time to try to trade for sure -- and I’m in an all cash position…but getting tempted.

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