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Gold Editorials & Commentary

August 6, 2019

Gold prices have surged in dollars and all currencies due to the escalation in the trade wars and a return to currency wars between China and the U.S.

Last Friday, August 2, 2019, we posted an article suggesting this current downside move in the US stock market may be setting up a “washout low” price rotation and we suggested all traders be very cautious over the weekend.  Obviously, with the US major indexes down...

August 5, 2019

After a major trend change, it can be difficult for the majority of investors and market watchers to shift and adjust accordingly to the new trend.

The last week of July/first week of August was quite interesting as volatility is finally back.  The bears got their resurrection by closing below the ongoing "sh*t hits the fan level" at 2955 on Thursday August 1. Essentially, active traders and investors had to de...

This phrase was first used by U.S. Supreme Court Justice Potter Stewart, in a case of obscenity. Instead of defining it—we would think that this would be a requirement for a law, which is of course backed by threat of imprisonment—he resorted to what might be called...

The Fed gave us exactly what the market expected in a .25% rate cut, and even gave us a “gift” with the early cessation of Quantitative Tightening.  Normally, most would view this as a bullish catalyst.  However, with market sentiment topping out in a bullish...

During WWII the Germans were in need of money to buy foreign materials to conduct the war. It is estimated they stole almost 500 metric tons (around 16 million troy oz equal to $23 billion USD @ $1,450 / oz) from various governments. Most was taken from Belgium, the...

August 4, 2019

Gold price and silver price have held up remarkably well compared to the broader markets as they continue to sell off today. While the DJIA is down more than 250 points, gold and silver are just slightly lower. However, gold has traded in the green several times...

If as a trader you found this past week to be boring, then 'tis time to hang it up there, Bunky. Or if on the other hand you suffered from an overdose of analysis paralysis, then hey, we just entered the Dog Days of August: nuthin's gonna happen, so take go take a...

The Dow Jones closed the week down 3.20% from its last all-time high.  On a week where the FOMC cut its Fed Funds Rate by twenty-five basis points (0.25%), the Dow Jones deflated 2.59% BEV points from last week’s close, or down 707.44 dollars.

There has been a discussion lately about some deflation coming into the big picture. In this Weekend Report I will show you what lot of the Chartology is suggesting. I have literally 100’s of charts on commodities that I’ve been building over the last 15 years from...

August 3, 2019

Our proprietary cycle indicator is up. Gold sector is on major buy signal. GLD is on short-term sell signal. GDX is on short-term sell signal. COT data on gold is now at levels of previous tops.

It was almost like Palladium traders followed our research to the letter when the trend reversed on July 11, 2019.  Our research team issued a report indicating a Double-Top pattern was setting up in Palladium on July 3, 2019.  At that time, our proprietary cycle...

August 2, 2019

Well, after months of presidential complaining, tweeting, and pressuring, Donald Trump finally got a rate cut from the Fed. A lower interest rate was supposed to stimulate the stock market and make the dollar cheaper versus the currencies of exporting countries --...

Here are today's videos and charts.

So far, so good! After the first half of the year, gold gained more than 10 percent, rising from $1,279 at the end of December 2018 to $1,409 at the end of June 2019. We invite you to read our today’s article about the gold market in the first half of the year, and...

The price of gold has rejected numerous attempts by the banks to hammer the gold price below $1400 using paper gold derivatives on the Comex and the LBMA. I have not seen gold behave with such resiliency in the last 19 years when the Comex banks have an extremely...

The gold miners’ stocks have surged dramatically this summer, catapulted higher by gold’s major bull-market breakout.  That atypical strength bucking the normal summer-doldrums slump has carried this sector right back to its traditional strong season.  That begins...

Our researchers have identified a very rare type of price pattern that is typically associated with explosive trend changes and trends.  We call this type of pattern a “Sandwich” pattern because of how price reacts within a range.  The IWM, Russell 2000 ETF, is...

The Federal Reserve dropped interest rates by 0.25% and the U.S. stock markets fell from all time record new highs. They also signaled to a surprised market that this is by no means an ongoing trend. The markets had to do a double take and were not enamored.

Contrary to majority opinion, gold and especially the gold mining stocks that leverage its macro status are not about inflation, especially cyclical inflation that runs with a positive economy. Making an appropriate return after a few months on hiatus, ladies and...

August 1, 2019

Yesterday, the Fed trimmed down the interest rates. This was widely expected – yet a blunt ruling out of an extended easing cycle wasn’t. The price of gold profoundly declined. Looking beneath the headline, what happened exactly?

The US Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) today announced a 0.25% cut in the influential US federal funds rate from a target range of 2.25% – 2.50% to a target range of  2.00% – 2.25%, a move which was closely watched and widely signaled, but...

Unemployment in the U.S. is at a half-century low and the S&P 500 is trading at near-record highs. Nevertheless, the Federal Reserve today trimmed interest rates for the first time since the financial crisis on stalled manufacturing growth and an anticipated...

Regardless of the Fed Funds rate policy decision by the FOMC today, the economy is spinning down the drain. Lower rates won’t help stimulate much economic activity. Maybe it will arouse a little more financial engineering activity on Wall Street and it might give a...

Stock market indexes are currently at record or near record highs, even as the chances for recession within the next 1-2 years seem to be rising. So how great would the losses be from these record heights, if the business cycle continues and we get another round of...

July 31, 2019

The great day of the Fed interest rates decision and forward guidance has arrived. There hasn’t been much pre-positioning volatility in the precious markets so far. With the exception of gold perhaps, you might say. Let’s dive in and assess whether a technically...

Let's start by defining investment and speculation, and for this purpose, I have used Investopedia: An investment is an asset or item acquired with the goal of generating income or appreciation. Speculation refers to the act of conducting a financial transaction...

July 30, 2019

Is gold finally due to swoon or can it continue to rally? The naysayers point to overbought conditions on the weekly charts, COT reports showing a mammoth short position held by the commercial traders, and the upcoming stock market “crash season”.

Last week, Boris Johnson became the PM of the UK. The odds of hard Brexit increased, sending pound lower. Now, markets await tomorrow’s FOMC meeting. Gold closely monitors these events and thinks about which way to go next.

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In the Aztec language the name for gold is teocuitlatl which means "excrement of the gods."

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