SPX pushed a little higher last week, breaching the recent high of 9/15 by a tad, and challenging the all-time high of 3028 which is likely to be surpassed before this move is over. This “exuberance” does not come as a surprise, since it...
SPX traded in a less than 50-point range last week, continuing what appears to be the formation of an intermediate distribution top which could bring a sizeable correction when complete. IWM, which has done a good job of acting as a...
Ever since it made its all-time high of 3028 on 7/21, SPX has been trading in a 200-point range which could either be a consolidation pattern, or the building of an intermediate top formation. The same can be said of IWM, although the...
After a plunge of 137 points to 2856 early in the week, SPX staged a strong two-day rally back to 2952 to end the week with a minor loss instead of something much larger, had the 40-week cycle continued to push prices lower. The question...
On Friday, with daily SRSI and the A-D indicator already in the red, the daily CCI dipped into the red. That makes it unanimous and tips the market trend from neutral to negative. It is not something that should be ignored! In the past...
Last week, the market action came just short of confirming an important top in SPX. On 9/12, the index made a new rally-high of 3021, seven points shy of the 3028 top of 7/26. There was some cautious selling going into the FOMC meeting...
Last week was the first time since the beginning of the rally from SPX 2835 that indicators displayed negative divergence at hourly, daily and weekly levels simultaneously. This is a serious warning that the significant correction that I...
News that trade talks are set to resume in October (this time for real) drove the SPX to 2885, breaking above the previous consolidation highs by about 40 points. This move, which was anticipated as possible by some EWT analysts, does not...
In my last letter I mentioned that I expected the market to turn down before it had another 100-point rally because the 40-week cycle, which is in its final phase, will start to put pressure on prices. However, as of Friday, the SPX rose...
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Final long-term phase on the way? How much longer, is the question.
Intermediate trend – We have started a correction of intermediate nature.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done...