Gold Editorials & Commentary

Gold-Eagle gold and precious metal news, market analysis and editorials from world renowned gold analysts and market experts.  Stay informed with the latest news and analyses on gold prices and perspectives on the economy to guide your investing decisions.

 

September 10, 2021

The final phase of Empires normally ends with the same signals whether it was 2000 years ago in Rome or today in the US.
One of the greatest risks cited currently by the markets is stagflation. The term means a situation in which there is high inflation and stagnation at the same time. So far, we have only had high inflation (CPI annual rate has soared 5.4%, and almost 5% if we take the...
The gold miners’ stocks are still languishing deeply out of favor, largely left for dead.  Their low prices are collateral damage from this past summer’s anomalous pair of extreme gold-futures-selling episodes on Fed-tightening fears.  But this bombed-out sector is due...
After a moderately strong rebound from the $1675 lows in early August, Gold has clearly started to set up the Right Shoulder of what appears to be an Inverted Head-and-Shoulders pattern. The recent weakness in the US Dollar suggests any breakdown in the US Dollar below...

September 9, 2021

Our 30 year Treasury yield ‘Continuum’ chart indicates that deflation is the dominant trend, but… Steve Saville has written a post that got me thinking about carts and horses and more precisely, which comes before which. Is the inflationary horse pulling the...
Compelling data in recent Commitments of Traders (COT) reports point to the emergence of a very large buyer in COMEX gold futures. The last four COT reports, starting with the report for positions held as of August 10, show a dramatic increase on the long side in gold...
Easy come, easy go. The yellow metal rallied on Friday just to plunge on Tuesday. What’s your next move, Mr. Gold?

September 8, 2021

Stagflation is showing up in data points and articles everywhere now. Delta worries, labor shortages and fading Washington stimulus — it’s enough to cast a chill on the U.S. economy this fall.
If you are betting on gold, you may be in for some tough sledding. Below is a 5-year chart of the yellow metal updated through Sep 3, 2021…
On Friday, gold soared based on the surprisingly weak jobs report. This week, gold declined over 1.5x as much as it rallied on Friday, and it happened based on… no news announcement.
It’s no secret that governments and central planners of all stripes have long detested the rise of private money and independent digital currencies. They have tried to stifle the burgeoning crypto industry from the moment it attracted mainstream attention. For years,...

September 7, 2021

The best performing precious metal for the week was silver, up 2.87%, outpacing gold on the sensitive jobs report update. Gold jumped after a key labor-market report showed the U.S. economy added fewer jobs than forecast, diminishing the possibility that the Federal...
Gold rallied strongly after Friday’s jobs report was released, but all the gains have been lost.
“I’ve got you in my sights” – the USDX heard that a lot over the last two weeks. While it was bullish for gold, the dollar might take revenge soon.
They say that September is a good time for gold. Indeed, historically, gold used to shine during the ninth month, and the yellow metal also started this year’s September on a good note. As the chart below shows, it jumped above $1,800 on the last day of August, and it...
Gold is trading within a giant consolidation pattern. We will look for clues as per which direction the consolidation will eventually resolve based on two key trigger levels: a break above $1,917 would signal a continuation of the 2015 – 2020 bull market, whereas a...

September 5, 2021

Last week's trading saw Gold forming its low in Tuesday's session, here doing so with the tag of the 1803.40 figure. From there, strength was seen into later in the week, with the metal pushing all the way up to a Friday high of 1836.90. For the five-day period, Gold...
The NFP on Friday came in as a shocker; while economists anticipated 728 000 new jobs, only 235 000 were created. A miss by 67.1% in such an important statistic really is no joke. Two possible explanations for this major error could both claim to be true.
"Has the S&P crashed yet?" Such query has been woven into a bevy of recent editions of The Gold Update. As penned two missives back: "The stock market crash really is coming; we just don't know when": nobody does.

September 4, 2021

Will this September be one to remember in the markets? It is often characterized by rising volatility heading into the fall. September also often ushers in a period of seasonal strength for precious metals markets.
Our proprietary cycle indicator is DOWN but bottoming. Gold sector is on long term SELL signal. The breakout has failed. Big trend remains down.

September 3, 2021

The August employment report came in at just 235,000 jobs versus the expected 730,000 by economists. Gold jumped over the potential for a weakening economy and delayed Fed tapering. A sustained breakout above $1840 in September would be considered bullish.
The gold miners’ stocks suffered a rough summer, getting hammered lower as collateral damage on gold futures speculators fearing Fed tightening.  That heavy gold-stock selling certainly wreaked havoc, leaving overwhelmingly bearish sentiment in its wake.  But the...
Would you like to see something mysterious? If yes, please look at the chart below. It shows the yields on 10-year US Treasuries (red line) and CPI annual inflation rates (blue line) in recent years. As you can see, a huge divergence emerged this year: while inflation...

September 2, 2021

Below, we look at four deliberately ignored reasons why extreme liquidity is drowning paper money. Reason 1: The Taper Debate May Not be a Debate at All
Home price growth in the US has accelerated even further, reaching a new record. The S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index rose from 255.3 in May to 260.9 in June, boosting the annual percentage gain from 16.8% to 18.1%, as the chart below shows. That’s...
You wouldn’t know that by listening to current commentary about inflation. Casual observers, economists, investors and analysts seem to agree that “higher inflation is being generated by abnormally huge amounts of government spending”.

September 1, 2021

Irrespective of whether “taper” is early or later, I will prefer to use the September crash (if any) in gold to invest for Diwali and Christmas. Normalization (maskless world) after the booster dose of the coronavirus vaccine will be the next big theme (after taper).
So what did Powell say? Perhaps more importantly, what did he not say? And what happens next? Let's discuss that today and begin to look ahead.
Today John Paulson is bullish on gold and bearish on cryptocurrencies, as he said during a recent "Bloomberg Wealth with David Rubenstein" interview.

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